Research and analysis

GOS: Illustrative impact of behavioural and social interventions lasting several months on a reasonable worst-case epidemic, 3 March 2020

Paper prepared by the Government Office for Science (GOS) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

Documents

Illustrative impact of behavioural and social interventions lasting several months on RWC- 3 March 2020

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Details

Paper by GOS on the impact of behavioural and social interventions lasting several months on a reasonable worst-case (RWC) scenario. It was considered at SAGE 12 on 3 March 2020.

It should be viewed in context: the paper was the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. The picture is developing rapidly and, as new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded and the author’s opinion or conclusion may since have developed.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions within this document have been made to remove any personal details and security markings.

Updates to this page

Published 31 July 2020

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