Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Combining COVID-19 model forecast intervals, 9 April 2020

Paper on proposed methodologies for combining short-term forecasts.

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 18 September 2020

Documents

Combining model forecast intervals (S0124) - 9 April 2020

PDF, 184 KB, 1 page

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Details

This was considered at SAGE 24 on 9 April 2020.

Separate forecasts are produced using different models and approaches by the modelling groups represented at SPI-M-O. These individual forecasts are then combined to form a consensus forecast which is subsequently shared with the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

Published 18 September 2020