Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 12 January 2022

Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 20 January 2022
• Last updated: 13 May 2022 — See all updates

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SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 12 January 2022

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SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19, 12 January 2022

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Consensus statement from SPI-M-O on COVID-19. It was considered at SAGE 103 on 13 January 2022. This paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read alongside the accompanying paper University of Bristol: Impact of voluntary risk-mitigation behaviour on the magnitude of a COVID-19 Omicron variant wave in England, 11 January 2022 from SAGE 103.

See more information on:

• what epidemiological modelling is and how it is used by government
• epidemiological modelling frequency asked questions

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 20 January 2022
Last updated 13 May 2022 + show all updates

1. 13 May 2022

   Added HTML version for accessibility purposes.

2. 20 January 2022

   First published.