Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Consensus view on the impact of possible interventions to delay the spread of a UK outbreak of 2019-nCov, 3 February 2020

Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 22 May 2020
• Last updated: 1 July 2022 — See all updates

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SPI-M-O: Consensus view on the impact of possible interventions to delay the spread of a UK outbreak of 2019-nCov - 3 February 2020

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Details

Consensus statement from SPI-M-O which outlines the possible impact that potential interventions could have in delaying the spread of a UK epidemic of COVID-19.

The paper was discussed at SAGE 4 on 4 February 2020. This paper was also discussed at SAGE 7 on 13 February 2020.

This evidence was often compiled very rapidly during a fast-moving response and should be viewed in this context. The paper presented here is the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing, and the conclusions were formed on this basis. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly. Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded at a later date.

Published 22 May 2020
Last updated 1 July 2022 + show all updates

1. 1 July 2022

   Noted that this paper was also discussed at SAGE 7 on 13 February 2020.

2. 22 May 2020

   First published.